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参考指标1:存款准备金/名义GDP回落10%~12%
来源:圣路易斯联储&美联储沃勒认为QT将存款准备金下降到该水平比较合理
参考指标2:RRP显示过剩流动性接近归零
RRP本来就是控制流动性的缓冲垫和利率政策的补充工具,RRP消耗殆尽则说明QT也接近尾声
参考指标3:SOFR的季
Leading Indicators for ISM Manufacturing PMI: High Yield Bonds, US Dollar, and Gold Fundamentals
This chart explores the relationship between the ISM Manufacturing PMI and three key MacroMicro Fundamental Indices: High Yield Bond, US Dollar (Inverte