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S&P 500 Equity Risk Premium (w/US 10 Year & 3 Month Treasury Yield) (YoY) vs US ISM Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) (YoY %) Inverted & US ISM Non-Manufacturing Index (NMI) (YoY %, Inverted)
Asia Stock Market Equity Risk Premium (w/US 10 Year Treasury Yield)
US Effective Federal Funds Rate Estimations vs US Yield Curve
US Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR) minus 10 & 2Y Treasury Yield
Every time curves uninvert, it takes about 7 to 8 months, on average, for the Fed to start cutting rates. The two longest periods are 17 and 18 monhths and the shortest ones 2 a